15$ 45 man FT

Originally posted by PaPi92
Final table.
According to ICM, this is easy fold, ICM gives 12% bubble factor. But I think, I should call in this spot according to chipEV, because if I fold here, I will be very shallow stack and I won`t have a big chance in the tournament. Maybe only min cash at best.
What do you think?

Poker Stars $13.78+$1.22 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t600/t1200 Blinds + t75 - 9 players - View hand 2027589
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG+1: t7042 M = 2.85
UTG+2: t6509 M = 2.63
MP1: t21161 M = 8.55
MP2: t1923 M = 0.78
CO: t2053 M = 0.83
BTN: t9595 M = 3.88
SB: t6123 M = 2.47
Hero (BB): t3533 M = 1.43
UTG: t9561 M = 3.86

Pre Flop: (t2475) Hero is BB with 3 9
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t6967 all in, 7 folds

i think is way too loose AINEC, i think u can/should wait for better spot i think u should be very tight in this spot
reason => look at BB is very short 3bb so he will probably call of light also MP2/CO r very short

U CANT WIN ALL

I am on the BB

Originally posted by PaPi92
I am on the BB

lol
yea right but w/e fold MP2/CO will be ALL in when BB/SB hit them so u will min cash like 99% of time here when u fold imo
+$>>>>>-$

If we say, each of them have 75% chance to left. So there is 56% chance to left both in the next orbit. I won`t min cash 99% of the time...

Originally posted by PaPi92
If we say, each of them have 75% chance to left. So there is 56% chance to left both in the next orbit. I won`t min cash 99% of the time...

then u cal next time u r in bb
but u can see that they both have less then 2bb, its very hard for both of them to survive cos MP1 is big chip lider and he will most def push when he is SB and MP2 bb which leaves MP2 all in in next hand in SB if he didnt call

alternative u can push when one of them is AI in blinds with any decend hand and if someone also call and uboth bust u will be ITM

Even for a 45man with the high bubble faktor this should imo always be a call

I'm playing the folding war here in a 45 man. Bubble factor is too large.