aqo

Hi Dracsharp,

Preflop: While 3-betting AQo is standard CO vs BTN in aggressive games it shouldn't be standard here simply because very often we turn our hand into a bluff. And on top of that we have a fish in the blinds that we'd like to stay in the pot.

As played we need ~32% equity to call. What do you think CO calls a 3-bet and then an overbet flop shove with you, the 3-bettor still left to act (holding As).

I think his range is sets, flushes and maybe TPTK or QKs. Against something like this: 55,22,AQs,KsJs,KsTs,JsTs,Ks9s,Js9s,Ts9s,Ks8s,Js8s,Ts8s,9s8s,Ks7s,9s7s,8s7s,Ks6s,8s6s,7s6s,Ks4s,Ks3s,AQo,KsQd,KsQh,KsQc we have 42% equity.

Let's throw in some similar range for SB plus random cards and overall versus the two of them we have something like 34-37% equity. So our call is a bit above break even thus making it a slight +EV high variance short term call.

If CO does not call KsQ or AQ then we drop down to 29% equity.