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6max AA- value sizing in river

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Whysoseriouz
Joined: 07.05.2011

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $20(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,860)
BB ($1,360)
CO ($4,300)
Hero ($1,480)

Dealt to Hero A♥ A♦

fold, Hero raises to $60, SB calls $50, fold

FLOP ($140) 9♦ 8♣ 3♣

SB checks, Hero bets $80, SB calls $80

TURN ($300) 9♦ 8♣ 3♣ 2♥

SB checks, Hero bets $160, SB calls $160

RIVER ($620) 9♦ 8♣ 3♣ 2♥ A♠

SB checks, Hero bets $340, SB calls $340

villain - VPIP: 62, PFR: 28, 3B: 8, AF: 1.7, Hands: 60

Sizing in turn is to keep villain in hand with draws, 9 or 8. On river i'm not sure what sizing is best for maximum value.

River is scare card, and i can only extract value from 8s and 9s. With 3 visible aces i don't give him two pair, maybe 89 but very unlikely due to possible FD, although a bit passive i think he would've wanted to protect. There's also the chance that he missed his draw in which case im not getting value from anything, he won't shove-bluff me for sure.

So i'm thinking a bet that he would call with K9,K8,Q9,Q8,T9, 87... how big can i make my river bet if he holds one of these hands? I was doubting if i pot size or 3/4 maybe he calls me with K9,Q9.


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Bet flop around 100-120. As played bet turn 200-240. River bet size is fine imo. I would not go over 400. This sort of players will try to hit his draw even if we dont give him good odds so bigger bets get more value out of him.


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Whysoseriouz
Joined: 07.05.2011

if board was 983 rainbow or 9d5c2c still bet flop so big on dry board?


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Originally posted by Whysoseriouz
if board was 983 rainbow or 9d5c2c still bet flop so big on dry board?

These boards would be ok for smaller bet, but this one is far from dry with flush and straight draws.


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