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bet sizing on monotone board

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Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players - View hand 2035469
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $5.40 - VPIP: 63, PFR: 9, 3B: 6, AF: 3.7, Hands: 116 WTS:34, FtoCB:50
UTG: $19.25 - VPIP: 17, PFR: 9, 3B: 4, AF: 1.1, Hands: 869
CO: $7.09 - VPIP: 58, PFR: 9, 3B: 0, AF: 1.5, Hands: 210
BTN: $12.50 - VPIP: 14, PFR: 12, 3B: 6, AF: 2.5, Hands: 129
Hero (SB): $7.83 - VPIP: 21, PFR: 16, 3B: 4, AF: 2.0, Hands: 68570

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is SB with Q :heart: A :heart:
1 fold, CO calls $0.05, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BB calls $0.25, 1 fold

Flop: ($0.65) Q :diamond: A :diamond: 6 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.62, BB calls $0.62

Turn: ($1.89) 4 :heart: (2 players)
Hero?

On one hand I'd like to push for maximum protection. BUT it isnt the most +ev line I think. It's better to bet something like 1.5$, and if the river is :diamond:, I fold. He is a major-major underdog, a FD having only like 9 outs, so I dont want him to fold here, right, I WANT him to call, so I MUST NOT push.
I think it's a mistake betting too much vs draws. If we can fold it they hit, they have NO implied odds, hence they are making a mistake.
If we PUSH, they fold their FD here, so they arent making any mistakes, hence we arent making any money.


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8 replies
Saren113
Joined: 06.03.2009

Well a recreational player won't think of betsizing that much tbh, I would bomb big flop and turn and we can bet river smallish on blank.


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Hi Imimba,

Preflop: Looks fine

Flop: You keep saying Push or bet 1.5. When you say push you mean overbet shove right?

In that case I would probably not do the overbet shove but nothing stops us from close to potting here.

There's one other piece you may be missing: villains range is NOT only draws. He can have a ton of Ax hands.


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Originally posted by Imimba1
If we PUSH, they fold their FD here, so they arent making any mistakes, hence we arent making any money.

That's the point :pokerface: :)

...unless he makes a huuuge mistake and call the push with a draw in this case we make a lot of money. It's quite unlikely though, even for a fish.


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Originally posted by BogdanPS
Hi Imimba,

Preflop: Looks fine

Flop: You keep saying Push or bet 1.5. When you say push you mean overbet shove right?

In that case I would probably not do the overbet shove but nothing stops us from close to potting here.

There's one other piece you may be missing: villains range is NOT only draws. He can have a ton of Ax hands.

+1


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

+1, true, he can have weaker Ax hands, he is passive


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Originally posted by Imimba1
+1, true, he can have weaker Ax hands, he is passive

+1


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Originally posted by Imimba1

Originally posted by Imimba1
+1, true, he can have weaker Ax hands, he is passive

+1

You seem to really like yourself :f_biggrin:

Or do you have a split personality, and it was just the second part agreeing with the first one? :f_biggrin:


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Well, sometimes I like myself for no perticular reason. :)


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