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NL25 SH - 44: set

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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

MP reg

23/21/4.4af
3% call open sb
50% wwsf
28% wtsd
47% w$sd
3% squeeze
3.6k hands

BB: $25.35 (101.4 bb)
UTG: $10.75 (43 bb)
MP: $26.67 (106.7 bb)
Hero (CO): $27.68 (110.7 bb)
BTN: $10 (40 bb)
SB: $25.10 (100.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 4♣ 4♥
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.62, Hero calls $0.62, BTN folds, SB calls $0.52, BB folds

Flop: ($2.11) 2♣ T♦ 8♠ (3 players)
SB checks, MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($2.11) 4♦ (3 players)
SB bets $1.32, MP folds, Hero raises to $4, SB raises to $24.48 and is all-in, Hero :evil:


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3 replies
EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

3 combinations of 22, 3 combos of 88. Does he have T8s in his range? Does he squeeze TT preflop? It's just a question of seeing how you do against his value range. You might be able to include 2-3 strong bluff combos like J9dd, QJdd, A5dd, etc.

Input a worst and best scenario in equilab and see what's up! ;)


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Lunitis
Joined: 22.02.2009

Best:

Board: T♦8♠2♣ 4♦
       Equity  Vencer  Empate
MP2    51.05%  51.05%   0.00% { TT, 88, 22, T8s, QdJd, Jd9d }
MP3    48.95%  48.95%   0.00% { 44 }

Worst:

Board: T♦8♠2♣ 4♦
       Equity  Vencer  Empate
MP2    65.91%  65.91%   0.00% { TT, 88, 22 }
MP3    34.09%  34.09%   0.00% { 44 }

40% pot odds +-.

So will be close i guess.


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EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Very close but you are also top of your range pluuuus, there is some spazz factor/overplay possibilty when facing fishier players. This might not be fishy but you didn't say he is a reg either.

One final thing to consider is: if you give him 44 and yourself a set in his spots, money is still going in so you don't lose in the long run when this spot comes up and you face another set.


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