60$ calculation spot

Hand discussions for Sit and Go-Tournaments

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kurrkabin

Joined: 12.10.2010

Posts: 5,893

18.12.2012, 14:01 0

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $50(BB) Replayer
SB ($2,690)
BB ($1,360)
CO ($3,510)
Hero ($1,440)

Dealt to Hero K♥ J♣

fold, Hero raises to $100, fold, BB raises to $255, Hero raises to $1,440 (AI), fold

Hero shows K♥ J♣

Hero wins $535

Hero is a reg that is an aggressive 3bettor, however, how do I calculate what range I can profitably shove here, say if he 3bets me with 30% of hands and call 10% on my 4bet shove?

Basically, 66% of the time we will win 380 chips uncontested, then we will play 33% of the time vs his top 10% range against which we have 33% equity.

SnG Mindset Blog :heart:

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Premiumnerd

Joined: 19.08.2010

Posts: 559

18.12.2012, 20:06 0

EV(Diff) = EV(shove) - EV(fold) != 0
-> EV(shove) = EV(fold)
EV(shove) = p*EV(Villain calls) + (1 - p)* EV(Villain folds)
p in this case is 0.33
EV (Villain Calls) = equity*EV(Win) + (1-equity)*EV(lose)

So equity needed = [EV(Villain Calls) - EV(lose)] / [EV(Win) - EV(lose)]

with EV(Villain Calls)= [EV(fold) - (1 - p)*EV(Villain folds)] / p

Just put in the numbers and u get what equity u need against villains callingrange to get it in. If u have done the calculation u can use the handrange-calculator funtion of the Equilator to get the hands that have the needed equity.

Problem with that is the cardremovaleffect isn't taken into account and all that stuff is very unhandy. I like to use cardrunners-ev to analyse these kind of spots, it's much easier.

Poker is one cold-hearted bitch with a 14-inch strap-on. -> 6max Sngs ♠_p:

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_Anonymous_

19.12.2012, 20:36 0

thanks PN. love you

it all looks correct to me.

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