sh nl20 kts

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by Saren113 14 years ago

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gao20005

Joined: 29.10.2008

Posts: 317

25.12.2012, 09:28 0

villain:33/18/2.3/271(vpip/pfr/af/hands)

fold to cbet： 38%
raise cbet flop： 25%（16）
wtsd： 35
w￥sd： 42

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
SB ($28.13)
BB ($7.21)
Hero ($32.74)
CO ($22.79)
BTN ($10.51)

Dealt to Hero T♣ K♣ , Hero raises to $0.60, fold, fold, SB calls $0.50, fold

FLOP ($1.40) 9♣ 3♠ 2♣

SB checks, Hero bets $0.90, SB raises to $2.50, Hero calls $1.60

TURN ($6.40) 9♣ 3♠ 2♣ 8♣

SB bets $3.40, Hero calls $3.40

RIVER ($13.20) 9♣ 3♠ 2♣ 8♣ J♥

SB bets $21.63 (AI), Hero ？

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2 replies

_Anonymous_

25.12.2012, 14:51 0

Hi Gao,

Villain is somewhat aggressive over the sample you have.

Our decision here would be based on what we've seen him do before or what we expect him to do. Can we expect him to raise flop with worse draws? If so which draws are possible? 76, QJ, 65, 64, 75, J8 etc.

We need to be good roughly 38% of the time on the river which means that if he only takes this line with flushes we are at least at the breakeven point (assuming he plays the flushes listed above like this).

For NFD we have AQ, AJ, A8, A7, A6, A5, A4, A3. So he needs to have at least 6 combos of worse hands for us to be winning slightly here.

Considering he seems aggro he may even be bluffing a hand like AcQd for example or other random hands.

So I would not fold.

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Saren113

Joined: 06.03.2009

Posts: 2,148

25.12.2012, 14:54 0

Blocking so many combos to!

Cursing at fish
Check my blog!

♠ ♥ ♦ ♣

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