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plo25; wrap vs AA's set

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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

villain is 24/7/0, so his 3bet must be AAxx... Is there any other way of playing this hand? I do have the odds i need both otf and ott right? My math is just bad.

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $5.51 (22 bb)
SB: $23.89 (95.6 bb)
BB: $11.67 (46.7 bb)
Hero (MP): $30.22 (120.9 bb)
CO: $59.01 (236 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with 9 7 8 K
Hero raises to $0.85, CO folds, BTN calls $0.85, SB raises to $3.65, BB folds, Hero calls $2.80, BTN calls $2.80

Flop: ($11.20) 5 6 A (3 players)
SB bets $10.70, Hero calls $10.70, BTN calls $1.86 and is all-in

Turn: ($34.46) K (3 players, 1 is all-in)
SB bets $9.54 and is all-in, Hero calls $9.54

River: ($53.54) J (3 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$53.54 pot ($2.00 rake)
Final Board: 5 6 A K J
BTN showed 2 8 Q J and lost (-$5.51 net)
SB showed A A 4 J and won $51.54 ($27.65 net)
Hero showed 9 7 8 K and lost (-$23.89 net)


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4 replies
CPallo
Joined: 12.04.2012

I'd rather fold flop here, some of our outs might not be clean in 3-way pot, and when he bets there it's obvious he has a set.


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

You don't have odds on the flop because you're never folding the turn no matter what hits.

So it's a straight $20 to win $53 and your odds are going to be around 30% to win (due to the shortstacked 3rd player.

I think you have to fold the flop where you know 100% the other guy has a set of aces.

board: Ah 6h 5d

AA** 61.62%
Kc 9h 8c 7d 38.38%

Heads up yes you do have to call it off as you are getting correct direct odds on each street.


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bubullesoft
Joined: 06.11.2008

hello guys
i'm totally ok for the set but noone talks about the FD
the odds are broke by the FD who kill some outs of hero here.

Ribbo :
you said, HU he have to call, but if SB have a FD with aces the equity is not pretty good...

AA+FD on the hand of SB give around 25% to hero
maybe i'm wrong but ...


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

The problem is BTN has $2 left on the flop so is calling pretty much 100% of the time. We can't draw any conclusions by BTN being all in.


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