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NL200 SH TPTK vs river push

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VWRoli
Joined: 17.04.2009

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
OnGame
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($200) 100bb
UTG+1 ($199) 100bb
CO ($196) 98bb
BTN ($304.33) 152bb
SB ($365.50) 183bb
Hero (BB) ($200) 100bb

Pre-Flop: ($3, 6 players) Hero is BB Q♠: A♦:
2 folds, CO raises to $6, 2 folds, Hero calls $4

Flop: 9♠: 2♥: Q♣: ($13, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $10, Hero calls $10

Turn: T♦: ($33, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $27, Hero calls $27

River: 2♦: ($87, 2 players)
Hero checks, CO goes all-in $153, $153 to Hero ($157)?

Villain 21/17 agg 38%(43/36/26), wtsd 23, wwsf 46
CO open 25, cbet 63/67/50

Is it a good board for him to bluff, to turn his pair+draws into bluffs? Is it a good board for me to bluffcatch?


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1 reply
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

No draws missed. I would fold. Maybe he turns jt jnto a bluff?

Im rly not sure why u arent 3betting aq vs a 25%range though. I think u might be perceived to be weak tight if u arent three betting such hands.

I just think his line doesnt make any sense (aassuming u are tight). Why woild he value bet anything like that if u are tight? Bottom card paired too so its way less likely for sets. It also makes it less likely for him to overbet jam KJ.

At the same time hardly any draws missed. Not sure if he would turn jt and kt into a bluff. Or maybe just AK even with the turned gutshot.

I think it depends on ur image and history. For now i would fold. Assuming this 21/17 guy is in line.


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