NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
SB ($10.62)
Hero ($12.81)
CO ($13.51)
BTN ($13.87)
Dealt to Hero 5♥ 4♥
fold, fold, SB raises to $0.30, Hero calls $0.20
FLOP ($0.60) Q♥ 7♥ 9♣
SB bets $0.30, Hero calls $0.30
TURN ($1.20) Q♥ 7♥ 9♣ A♥
SB checks, Hero bets $0.80, SB calls $0.80
RIVER ($2.80) Q♥ 7♥ 9♣ A♥ 8♠
SB checks, Hero ?
opponent 17/15/2,1/300
cbet 67, WTS 38. river aggression 1,7 / 31%(16)
Hi everyone!
It's not my hand but i didn't get an answer that could satisfy me so I decided to post it here.
First of all, preflop. Though we are not equity favorites I think we can defend our blind because of the position & playability, mayhap considering float. Unfortunately, I don't have stats on W$SD so we could judge whether this guy is SD-loose or just good running. But fold is no mistake here I think.
Flop. Call is ok here, we could consider raise but call is just safer without specific reads and we can consider floating turn and just see what opponent will do on this street and on which card.
Turn. No doubts, value bet. And we must clarify his range now. This card is a good bluff card, but he doesn't bet. It may be because he is scared we may have flush or he may be on a draw himself. We can't deny the possibility of monster. After he calls it's probably some hit+FD, monsters, simple FDs, say JhJx. He must bet any good made hand himself because this board is very draw heavy.
River. Even we have his high WTS we don't have an information on how this WTS was aquired, because of good run or his looseness. He's TAG seeing on his other stats, even somewhat nitty SH. So i don't think he will call smth like JhJx, some hits with now busted FD will he fold and monsters will c\r. Actually we may think about small bet on the river but I intend to cb.
What do you think?
