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NL 10 QJs

8 Posts
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Seat 5 is the button
Seat 2: Player2 ( $10.69 USD ) - VPIP: 81, PFR: 69, 3B: 60, AF: 3.3, Hands: 16
Seat 5: Hero ( $10.17 USD ) - VPIP: 21, PFR: 17, 3B: 6, AF: 2.4, Hands: 44449
Seat 6: Player6 ( $9.90 USD ) - VPIP: 18, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 1.0, Hands: 17
Seat 4: Player4 ( $2.20 USD ) - VPIP: 29, PFR: 6, 3B: 17, AF: 0.3, Hands: 17
Seat 1: Player1 ( $21.44 USD ) - VPIP: 17, PFR: 16, 3B: 6, AF: 1.3, Hands: 58
Seat 3: Player3 ( $11.15 USD ) - VPIP: 20, PFR: 12, 3B: 20, AF: 3.0, Hands: 25

Party, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

UTG: $10.69 (106.9 bb)
Hero (BTN): $10.17 (101.7 bb)
SB: $9.90 (99 bb)
CO: $2.20 (22 bb)
BB: $21.44 (214.4 bb)
MP: $11.15 (111.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q J
UTG raises to $0.40, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.95) 7 7 K (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $0.60, UTG calls $0.60

Turn: ($2.15) T (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $1.60, UTG calls $1.60

River: ($5.35) 5 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $3.39, UTG raises to $8.09 and is all-in, Hero calls $4.18 and is all-in

Results:

Spoiler

$20.49 pot ($1 rake)
Final Board: 7 7 K T 5
UTG showed T 7 and won $19.49 ($9.32 net)
Hero showed Q J and lost (-$10.17 net)

Considering opponent I dont think I can fold river. I think HE might play 7x this way but also the nut flush, TT, K7. T7, 57, KK. What do you think?


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7 replies

Hi Kevin,

Preflop: How do you plan on playing QJs postflop if we hit a Q and J and we are facing a potentially aggro fish (sample is too small to really know how he plays post)?

Postflop: As played I would consider bet/folding that river there. I doubt he raises a Kx/7x like that and while there are some worse flushes the K, Q, J and T are on the flop so all other flushes are random small cards. Now he can have a TON of better hands.

I wouldn't count all T7 combos for example but KK, 77, TT, 75s, T7s, NFD and his line of ck/call turn and ck/shove river is pretty strong. We could bluffcatch here if we have any reason to believe that villain can shove a 7x or bluff with AhX which he has many in his range. Pot odds indicate that he has to bluff/raise worse 1 in 5 hands.


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

If it is a Q or J high board I think we can play passively in position for value.

On river now that you say it I'm not sure if he bluffs/raises 20% of the time. Even with 7x I doubt he ever raises on that board.


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Originally posted by 0744379
If it is a Q or J high board I think we can play passively in position for value.

On river now that you say it I'm not sure if he bluffs/raises 20% of the time. Even with 7x I doubt he ever raises on that board.

Yeh, this deep I doubt he will raise much worse on that river.

So we'd have to bet/fold.


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

What do you think of checking back on the river?


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Originally posted by 0744379
What do you think of checking back on the river?

What's his range looking like on the river, once he checks to us?

Try to list out the hands that can play like that.

How many Kx/7x vs hands that beat us?


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_Anonymous_ Topic starter
_Anonymous_

Ak with Ace of hearts, maybe all AK hands, KQdd although he shouldnt call the turn with this hand, A7s and possibly 87s = 11 combos

vs

KK, 77, TT, T7s, 75s,55, A9hh, A8hh, = 15 combos.

I might get value from 2 or 3 of his combos but no more than that so I think a check is fine


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Originally posted by 0744379
Ak with Ace of hearts, maybe all AK hands, KQdd although he shouldnt call the turn with this hand, A7s and possibly 87s = 11 combos

vs

KK, 77, TT, T7s, 75s,55, A9hh, A8hh, = 15 combos.

I might get value from 2 or 3 of his combos but no more than that so I think a check is fine

Yes, and this line of ck/call two streets ck/shove river on boards where big slowplays are possible it's usually a big slowplay and not a bluff.


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