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AQo

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akasoul
Joined: 17.06.2007

Hi!

Party, $0.10/$0.20 Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q A
2 folds, CO raises, BTN folds, Hero 3-bets, BB folds, CO calls

Standar c/bet on flop, so no problem here.
Flop: (7 SB) 8 K 4 (2 players)
Hero bets, CO calls

Turn brings a facecard that fits nice on CO OR range.
Given the pot odds I need to be ahead 25% of the time to make a profitable bet, is that correct???.
If I look my equity its around 40%, then what % of its hands could I make CO fold here???
If its a loose/passive I dont think I can make it fold many hands that call that flop, cause it connects well and there are many proyects and a small pp would call anyway.
A TAG could fold some hands or either raise me if ahead.

So given the posibility I'm still ahead, and the possible draws I could bet again.
Against a TAG I could b/f here???

Turn: (4.5 BB) J (2 players)
Hero bets, CO calls

On the river I dont get anything, a flush completes. Im lost here
River: (6.5 BB) 7 (2 players)
Hero ???


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2 replies
Avataren
Joined: 28.04.2010

id say check fold


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Boomer2k10
Joined: 22.09.2010

On this board almost 60% of our range for 3-betting a CO open on the turn is a Pair of 8's or better.

Becasue of this there's very little reason to be betting AQ on the turn and this is where the idea of "charging a draw" begins to fall apart. A draw isn't going anywhere, could easily blow you off your hand and not much better is folding.

I'm not actually against turning our worst A-High's into bluffs on teh turn to try and get rid of better A-High's and pocket pairs on the river but AQ is just in no-man's land and has draws of it's own so personally I think x/c'ing the turn is probably ok and makes it easier to play the river without giving your hand completely away.

Given the pot size on the river it then becomes about your opponent. If you believe since you've shown weakness he's capable of bluffing A-High then you have to call becasue you're at the top of your turn check/calling range which hasn't hit a flush.

If you think he's a predictable TAG who is only going to bet the river with better hands then go with your read but pretty sure for the sake of your range if you're unsure you have to call down.


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