AA Baluga Theorem

Hand discussions for No Limit

Last Post by mbml 14 years ago

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_Anonymous_

18.01.2013, 06:08 0

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

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$0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]BU$10.85:///////;SB$10.37:///////;BB$33.31:///////;MP2 (Hero)$33.35:///////;MP3$23.94:///////;CO$9.61:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A:c, A:h.
Hero raises to $0.75, MP3 calls $0.75, CO folds, BU calls $0.75, 2 folds, BB folds.

Flop: ($2.6) K:c, T:h, 5:h (3 players)
Hero bets $1.70, MP3 calls $1.70, BU calls $1.70.

Turn: ($7.7) Q:d (3 players)
Hero bets $4.80, MP3 raises to $9.60, BU folds, Hero folds, MP3 gets uncalled bet back.

Final Pot: $12.5.

bU in 15 hands vpip29 pfr7 af0,5
mP in 7 hands vpip57 pfr29 af1

I folded as Baluga Theorem says.
should I call here?

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1 reply

mbml

Joined: 27.11.2008

Posts: 20,957

18.01.2013, 06:16 0

Hi.

I think this theorem applies even more when board further coordinates. I'm not sure if they would overplay QT and KT here (but if they do they have you crushed). I also think they can easily have J9 or AJ a lot of the time. And of course KQ is a good part of their ranges.

So this is a really standard bet/fold. Question is whether we should even bet the Turn. I think it's close, and since there's a huge fish in the pot I don't mind it too much. He could have KJ K9 K8, QJ JT AT AQ etc which may call the turn again with pairs + gutshot.

Thanks.

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