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NL200 76s deep bluff c/r river

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LgWz
Joined: 26.05.2007

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($432.23) 216bb
UTG+1 ($203.42) 102bb
CO ($204.20) 102bb
BTN ($417.11) 209bb
SB ($105.90) 53bb
Hero (BB) ($362.02) 181bb

Pre-Flop: ($3, 6 players) Hero is BB 6♣ 7♣
3 folds, BTN raises to $4, 1 fold, Hero calls $2

Flop: Q♦ 9♣ 8♣ ($9, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $6.45, Hero raises to $20, BTN calls $13.55

Turn: 6♦ ($49, 2 players)
Hero bets $34, BTN calls $34

River: 8♠ ($117, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $85.65, Hero goes all-in $304.02

Villain 22/20 1.1k hands, opens 52% BTN, 80% cbet and 33% fold cbet to raise (sample: 6), WTSD 22%, WWSF 58%. No written notes but I recall some hands, he (oop) folds to river shove over 3 barrels when my range was kind of capped OTT but river decent for my range, he 5bet jammed QTs SB vs CO and didn't give me any credit for raising set on super dry board (he cb/c then c/s turn with overs picking fd), this was me on CO vs him on MP.

Shove needs to work 60.5% of the time to break even.


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

What are you trying to fold out here? Don't you think he is going to have a polarized betting range on the river?


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babbas90
Joined: 10.06.2008

he has every single boat and quads in his range, why do you want to bluff against that range? He wont bet AQ-AA on the river...


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Yeah precisely, I think c/c > c/r in this spot, he either has a busted draw or some nutted hand.


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