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FT miniFTOPS ME - AQs

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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011

22/18/cbet flop-70(10)/turn-100(1) for 175 hands.
My image on this table was very tight. Because of that, I decide to call pre flop, because with this image, 3bet/push might won`t be profitable.
What do you think about his turn bet? I think he might bet bigger with good hands.
I think call turn and call blank river is fine. Because if he decide to bluff with this sizing, he is often planning to bet river too. What do you think?

Full Tilt Poker MiniFTOPS Main Event No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t250/t500 Blinds + t50 - 9 players - View hand 2073908
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: t6978 M = 5.82
UTG+1: t15796 M = 13.16
UTG+2: t20564 M = 17.14
MP1: t12444 M = 10.37
MP2: t8514 M = 7.09
CO: t22725 M = 18.94
BTN: t22400 M = 18.67
SB: t17092 M = 14.24
Hero (BB): t17880 M = 14.90

Pre Flop: (t1200) Hero is BB with A :spade: Q :spade:
5 folds, CO raises to t1000, 2 folds, Hero requests TIME, Hero calls t500

Flop: (t2700) 4 :diamond: 3 :heart: 5 :heart: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets t1250, Hero requests TIME, Hero calls t1250

Turn: (t5200) K :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets t1750, Hero ???


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8 replies
AceSteph
Joined: 31.03.2010

Hey! I'd still 3bet/broke with these stack sizes in CO vs BB. Even if you look tight, your resteal range will be wider, which he has FE against. But the best part, that he's going to flat you with a bunch of weaker hands in position, since he thinks his implied odds are better. So I'd easily 3bet for value.

Played this way. A steal stat would be very important. If he's stealing 35-40%+, I'd call him down. You could even cr flop I guess. If you're tight, he is going to be in pretty ugly spots even with 77-88-99. But calling down is better, since we let him bluff and his steal range is wide enough and won't hit enough times. Plus you have no K in your flop call range, so he can easily bet 3 streets.


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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011

I don`t think he will 4bet/call with weaker hands, because of my tight image.
If he has some 4bet bluffs 3bet/call will be profitable, but I am not sure would he 4bet me with bluffs, when he see me like a nit.


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AceSteph
Joined: 31.03.2010

In this case how about 3bet/folding? It seems odd, but if he has a 40% steal range. Ha 4bets only with 5%, and calls with the useful hands, which might be like 10%, you win the dead money in most of the times and you get value from weaker hands. If he's folding too much to 3bets, call is the only choice, but if he's calling 3bets light, I still think there might be value in 3betting.


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Call pre with your history, I just don't expect peels vs 3bets even IP often enough.

Call turn evaluate river is my line. Don't force yourself to station off on blank rivers, he can take this line for some pot control: bet 2 streets this size to define your range better, then make a big bet on the river for value.


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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011

Would you share your reads on the bet sizing and timing for the river? I think you will consider these factors on the river.


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

I'd like to think regs are pretty good with timing on the river and fairly balanced. In terms of sizing they're usually going to valuebet bigger and bluff smaller.


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PaPi92
Joined: 17.02.2011

For example in this hand, on which cards and what sizing would you call on the river?


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Originally posted by PaPi92
For example in this hand, on which cards and what sizing would you call on the river?

Not a whole lot of blank cards, our range for calling the turn looks pretty strong and we're not going to expect him to bluff too often IMO. This is just really feel/gameflow based, I have no idea how to answer this question in more detail over the x permutations of different possible rivers/sizings


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