Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

[SH][NL25] x/c x/?[KF24]

2 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
166 Views
KillerFishes
Joined: 11.07.2010

PartyGaming - $0.25 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $59.00
Hero (SB): $34.00
BB: $40.93
UTG: $37.25
MP: $8.00
CO: $26.42

Hero posts SB $0.10, BB posts BB $0.25

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.35) Hero has J♥ J♠

fold, fold, CO raises to $0.75, fold, Hero calls $0.65, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($2.25, 3 players) 7♠ 6♠ T♣
Hero checks, BB checks, CO bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, fold

Turn: ($5.25, 2 players) T♥
Hero checks, CO bets $3.50, fold

Hey,

22/19, CO 36, cbets 67/54/100(6/6) .. 900hand sample

he's probably running very good since his river bet or he's overaggro? Is 6 significant sample enough to make any kind of estimations?

My thoughts process:

Flop - he's betting into 3, strong range (draws&madehands)
Turn - It's probably very weak fold :( .. He's betting all his draws again right? (sizing tell? 3,5/5,25 is quite low => draw?) In the game I thought that Tx is really bad barreling card for him and he'd very likely check most of his draws and continue with JJ+, 98, fullhouses, Tx ...

If I'd call would you call the river?

thx


Reply
Quote
1 reply
EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Hey KF,

I would say his sizing is not that small.. maybe he'd bet more with stronger made hands but his sizing can still be QQ-AA, 89, some Tx as well. Given his river aggression so far you kind of have to decide now on what cards you have a profitable river call. Are there enough? The way the hand played with 3 people on the flop and betting the turn as well I believe your hand is best a fold, albeit it seems a bit tight.

I want to point out preflop though: You are playing CO vs SB, JJ is quite a strong hand here and you are facing someone with 36% open from CO. I can't imagine this not being a value 3bet/5bet almost ever vs such a player. It would be quite a sick exception for him to open so much and not defend or 4bet worse than JJ.


Reply
Quote