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[SH] NL50 6m K9 vs flop raise

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VWRoli
Joined: 17.04.2009

$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
Prima
5 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($72.63) 145bb
CO ($85.75) 172bb
Hero (BTN) ($55.22) 110bb
SB ($73.43) 147bb
BB ($53) 106bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 5 players) Hero is BTN K♥: 9♥:
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, 1 fold, BB calls $0.75

Flop: 2♣: 9♦: 4♥: ($2.25, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.75, BB raises to $5.25, Hero calls $3.50

Turn: 6♣: ($11, 2 players)
BB bets $8.50, Hero calls $8.50

River: 8♣: ($28, 2 players)
BB goes all-in $38, $38 to Hero ($40.22)?

Villain is an unknown fish
Is it a good idea to call two streets here and fold to a river shove? I'm having trouble playing on dry flops after I got a raise.


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2 replies
EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Heya,

If you fold to the river shove you assume he has a set or a flush probably and almost no bluffs. If you think he does this with many BD FDs and he is already very unlikely to have a set I would often consider shoving turn for thin value. If he did some random raise with 9x he will call you, he can feel commited with FD + overs plus vs sets you lose kind of often anyway since you're not planning on foling too often.

In this specific case I would fold river because of the terrible odds we also get. We need to be right too often while actually having no idea about his exact range just that his value range is narrow. We don't know how wide his bluffing range is to make educated calls.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Looks fine to me as played


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