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facing very small river bet

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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

10 hands on villain, 70/0 thus far... Is river a call?

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP: $39.82 (79.6 bb)
CO: $53.47 (106.9 bb)
BTN: $28.17 (56.3 bb)
Hero (SB): $50 (100 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T J A K
MP calls $0.50, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2, BB folds, MP calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.50) 5 Q J (2 players)
Hero bets $3, MP raises to $9, Hero calls $6

Turn: ($22.50) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP checks

River: ($22.50) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $4, Hero folds

Results:

Spoiler

$22.50 pot ($1.01 rake)
Final Board: 5 Q J 2 4
MP mucked and won $21.49 ($10.49 net)
Hero mucked T J A K and lost (-$11 net)


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7 replies
semmel81
Joined: 18.01.2007

with villains actions on Flop and Turn, you have here a pretty easy herocall. and for that price its even more easier.

any strong hand he should have continued betting on the turn.

so you´re ahead of hands like KTxx, JT9x, AKTx. additionally you get important infos of that player, even if you lose that hand...

how about 4 betting the flop?... I asked to myself right now


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RuiBouquet
Joined: 21.03.2008

Originally posted by semmel81
how about 4 betting the flop?... I asked to myself right now

I think it's better to realize your equity before commiting.

board: 5sqhjc
Hand Equity
AcKcJT 49.65%
QQ,AKT,QJ,JJ,55,9TK 50.35%

OTR I would call.


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semmel81
Joined: 18.01.2007

The Equity is clearly around a flip on the Flop.

My thoughts: I could be open for mistakes on the Turn OOP. IP I would clearly call. Thats why I asked...


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

I think you have to make the crying call on the river only because you beat similar draws with your jack.

Villain could well play stronger hands this passively as his stats show he doesn't like betting that much but I am really struggling to make a hero fold here.


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semmel81
Joined: 18.01.2007

Sorry. Still have some doubts about the Flopplay here.

My Line would be still Bet/3-Bet (4bet was wrong)

arguments:
1) OOP (i have not a real good gameplan against an opponent who played 10 hands on my table...maybe ist just a raise to buy the river)
2) It should be always +EV with $5.00 invested
3) villain isn´t fullstacked
4) villain could eventually muck weak 2pairs (Q5 or J5)

if we call the Flop: what is the plan, when we are confronted with ugly bets unimproved?
always give up blank turns? give up paired boards on a weak bet like $8? C/C when a small Clubs appears?


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Giving up on the turn to a big bet is fine if we miss, unless we pick up a club draw.


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RuiBouquet
Joined: 21.03.2008

I think it shoudn't be bad to shove the flop......


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