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[Closed] FR 0.25/0.50 - Donkbet

4 Posts
4 Users
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Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;BB$8.45:91/12 /3 /2.8/44 /0 /50 /29 ;UTG+2$11.50:132/25 /11 /1.6/29 /13 /100 /60 ;Hero$12.05:///////;[/tg]
0.25/0.5 Fixed-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.58 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with J♥, T♥
UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls, Hero calls, 5 folds, BB checks.

Flop: (3.40 SB) 3♦, 6♠, J♣ (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero bets, BB folds, UTG+2 calls.

Turn: (2.70 BB) A♦ (2 players)
UTG+2 bets, Hero folds, UTG+2 gets uncalled bet back..

Final Pot: 2.70 BB

I've been getting pretty frustrated by this play lately, seems to be happening to me quite frequently. Considering his position I always seem to give them credit for hitting this overcard, however I occasionally call this down and usually I'm beat at the showdown. Is this almost always a fold on the turn?


3 replies
frzl
Joined: 25.04.2006

i marked it for cirith because i think i´m way too weak here. but the pot is just super small, we are not getting the right odds if we assume that we are behind and if we call he will bet the river almost 100% of the time. so i would just give it up.


This is a though one yes and im interested what ciRith has to say abouth this.

Seeing UTG his stats he seems kinda fishy. A fish thats more on the tight side tbh...low wts...low agr factor.


Hi MP87,

folding here is ok. However if you get exploiited by that play then start calling a bit looser.
I did an Equilator analyses but it's way to unaccurate as the ranges are hard to set:

Board: Ad Jc 6s 3d
Dead:

Equity Gewonnen UnentschiedenVerloren Hand
Spieler 1: 45.678 % 44.249 % 2.858 % 52.893 % 77, 55, A7s-A3s, KTs-K8s, QTs+, KJo+, QJo
Spieler 2: 54.322 % 52.893 % 2.858 % 44.249 % JhTh

This would indicate a calldown. However most of these hand won't be donked so your equity would drop a lot in this case.
Spare these calldowns for your SH hands. :)