Villain is 27/22 AF inf over 40 hands
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.04(BB) Replayer
SB ($3.96)
BB ($4.91)
UTG ($3.96)
UTG+1 ($4.48)
Hero ($4)
MP1 ($4.62)
CO ($4.71)
BTN ($7.36)
Dealt to Hero 5♥ 5♦
fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.12, Hero calls $0.12, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold
FLOP ($0.30) J♦ 8♦ 5♣
UTG+1 bets $0.16, Hero calls $0.16
TURN ($0.62) J♦ 8♦ 5♣ 6♦
UTG+1 bets $0.20, Hero calls $0.20
RIVER ($1.02) J♦ 8♦ 5♣ 6♦ 9♦
UTG+1 checks, Hero checks
Spoiler
Hero shows 5♥ 5♦ (Pre 20%, Flop 8.9%, Turn 22.7%)UTG+1 shows J♣ J♠ (Pre 80%, Flop 91.1%, Turn 77.3%)Hero wins $0.97
I call to setmine...I think he is on a stronger range since he opens from UTG and I might get paid off if he hits
I hit the flop...but I think it didnt really hit his range...only J hits him, and from my experience most of the people these days with reasonable stats are folding to raise on the flop, especially if it doesnt hit their range...
I was aware that a diamond on the turn could kill my action, but I wanted to try and see if I can get more value out of him by calling on the flop and raising on the turn if he bets again...
Turn is a scare card for him...just what I was trying to avoid..his bet size also tells me he isnt on a flush and is likely to fold to my bet...my plan got messed up...I decide to try to get one more bet out of him on the river, if I call he wont put me on a flush probably...
Again diamond on a river...I have baby flush and I dont think he will call my bet here...if he has a diamond it is probably bigger than mine so I just check behind to see showdown....seems I got lucky here