NL100 AJ TP facing CRAI

Would size the sq a bit bigger preflop.

I would cab the Flop. His AF seems to be low. Don't think he folds better hands.

Turn clear check back.

I like the River sizing and I also would fold to his shove. Don't think he turns hands like 89, 7x into a bluff.

I agree with Scoob here on all points.

17 hands is nothing, so don't think AF really tells us anything. I think we can almost cbet this flop for value lol. This guy probably calls with any ace-high, any gutter, bdfd etc, so imo the cbet is good here

I'd agree in a single raised pot, but in a 3bet pot I just think he's a little bit stronger/will act a bit differently. In a single raised pot we can cbet, expect him to call J9 and then just check it down if he misses, whereas in a 3bet pot I feel like he's a lot more likely to stab if he misses river just because the pot is bigger. So usually I'd agree, but in a 3bet pot I just have a slight preference for checking even though I don't really mind a cbet.

Ah, my bad, didn't notice it was a 3bet pot..

thanks guys, you brought up some good points I didnt realize when I played the hand.

the smallish squeeze size is because the original raisor is only 70bb deep.