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plo50, great equity ott vs a guy who doesn't fold

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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Villain is a 100 vpip fish over 40 hands... He hasnt folded yet by the turn... So my question is, should i still bet, even tough i don't have a made hand, and i probably won't be able to bluff him if i miss?

Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $50 (100 bb)
MP: $51.01 (102 bb)
CO: $55.97 (111.9 bb)
Hero (BTN): $84 (168 bb)
SB: $12.15 (24.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 4 Q J K
MP folds, CO calls $0.50, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $2, BB folds, CO calls $1.75

Flop: ($7.25) 5 9 T (3 players)
SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $4, SB folds, CO calls $4

Turn: ($15.25) A (2 players)
CO checks, Hero ???


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Kyyberi
Joined: 09.07.2010

You have around 19 outs that can win the pot for you. So you will hit the river a little over 40% of the times. I would bet the turn cos then you have a change to get even more when you hit, and if he check-raises the turn it's not a problem with that huge draw.


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Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

It's a great spot to mash the pot bet button and carry on repping pocket aces against most players...

However against a 100 vpip fish who probably isn't folding in this spot.... I would still bet because we want the pot to be bigger when we hit the river plus we have half the deck anyway.

If we check back the turn then we reduce the size of the pot we can win on the river when we hit. I agree with not bluffing the river.


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