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NL100 raise river as a bluff.

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19/15/5,8 steal% 41 wtsd 17 w$sd 50
cbet flop 50%(8) cbet turn 100%(2)
total hands; 188

I was calling the turn with the thought of shipping the river when he bets. I can obviously never call the river because he is almost never 3 barreling here as a bluff, but valuebet/fold a lot imo. I'm pretty sure he will fold AK,AQ,A9,A8 and A6. He also have a hard time calling AT, TJ and AJ because they are just bluffcatchers.

$0.50/$1 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($115.93) 116bb
UTG+1 ($371.03) 371bb
CO ($100.92) 101bb
BTN ($100) 100bb
SB ($191.10) 191bb
Hero (BB) ($105.11) 105bb

Pre-Flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is BB Q♣ J♥
4 folds, SB raises to $3, Hero calls $2

Flop: 10:spade: 6♥ A♦ ($6, 2 players)
SB bets $4, Hero calls $4

Turn: J♦ ($14, 2 players)
SB bets $9.50, Hero calls $9.50

River: 5♠ ($33, 2 players)
SB bets $21, Hero goes all-in $88.61


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2 replies
bonecore
Joined: 02.11.2009

my opinion is ... i make silly bluffs like this too when oponent is stronger than 1 pair
the problem is that we dont know what he has ... exept he is strong

if we can say he doesnt have straight or set then bluff

i did same plays and got called even by A10 2 pair


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

He took such a strong line, easy fold on the River.

About the Turn play, he barreled such a good card for your range. Unless he is an absolute barrel monkey I would consider folding Turn immediately. You are basically never folding the Turn unless you have something like T8/T9 or 78/89, but other than that you usually have some broadway pair+gutshot here.

Thanks.


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