IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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Hero (SB): $10.62 (106.2 bb)
BB: $10.10 (101 bb)
UTG: $29.22 (292.2 bb)
MP: $12.34 (123.4 bb)
CO: $9.85 (98.5 bb)
BTN: $13.04 (130.4 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with A
Q
2 folds, CO raises to $0.30, BTN folds, Hero raises to $1, BB folds, CO calls $0.70
Flop: ($2.10) T
4 3 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.05, CO calls $1.05
Turn: ($4.20) A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40
River: ($7) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks
CO 18/12
steal CO 18%
fold to 3bet 38%
4bet range 0% (8 samples)
vs resteal fold 20 % (5 samples)
agg% 37%
fold to cbet 3bet pot 67%
hands 380
BВ fish 42/0
agg % 10%
wts 50
hands 44
PREFLOP:
CO is stealing with 18% range and does not like to fold to 3bets, BU is a fish who likes to call. I think it is better to 3bet because even against his calling 3bet range we are ahead
18% * 0.2 = 3.6 {JJ-TT,AQs-ATs,KQs,AQo-AJo}
MP2 43.13% 30.13% 13.00% JJ-TT, AQs-AJs, KQs, AQo-AJo
MP3 56.87% 43.87% 13.00% AQo
I do not mind if the fish will call the 3bet as well, I will have a strong hand i a 3bet pot
FLOP:
he calls the flop cbet with JJ,AhQh,KhQh,AhJh,AhTh
TURN:
Board:
Equity Win Tie
MP2 67.71% 64.01% 3.70% JJ, AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, AhTh
MP3 32.29% 28.59% 3.70% AdQc
vs that range I have 32% equity
to value bet profitably I need more than 50 %, I think the opponent will not bet JJ, he will only bet
AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, AhTh
Board: T♥4♦3♥
Equity Win Tie
MP2 54.04% 42.93% 11.11% { AhQh, KhQh, AhJh, AhTh }
MP3 45.96% 34.85% 11.11% { AdQc }
based on my analysis I need to fold turn
Is my analysis of this spot Ok ?
