PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
SB: 49 BB (VPIP: 57.14, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
Hero (BB): 158.8 BB
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 15.93, PFR: 13.74, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 185)
CO: 40.2 BB (VPIP: 33.96, PFR: 20.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 53)
BTN: 21.4 BB (VPIP: 38.54, PFR: 7.29, 3Bet Preflop: 1.96, Hands: 98)
Preflop: Flat to keep in some of CO's dominated range and if I 3b I don't expect to get called or 4b by worse. I expected his range to be something like
Spoiler
Equity Win Tie
CO 48.65% 46.32% 2.33% { 22+, A7s+, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T8s+, A9o+, K9o+, QTo+, J9o+ }
BB 51.35% 49.01% 2.33% { KQs, KQo }
As for the SB. I think since he is also likely to be a recreational player that his range could be pretty much anything TBH, but probably some small pairs, SC's J,Q,K,AX.
Flop: When SB DB's the flop I would expect him to do this with TP or draws. I felt like my options OOP vs the PFA'r were either to call and re-evaluate the turn and take a pot control line or to raise / fold to a 3b since I would not expect to be getting bluffed very often if I get 3b on such a flop.
I chose the call and re-evaluate mainly because I wanted to see how the CO reacted. Since he did not raise the flop I did not expect him to have a very strong hand, but I did not get any more info on his range. I still expected it to consist of TP, draws and maybe some pairs > TP.
Turn: When SB donks again I still think he has TP and draws still. It is possible that he plays a Tx this way to continue to induce a raise from myself or the CO but I would usually expect players to start increasing their bet sizing when they actually hit a value hand 2pr+.
Again I felt I could either raise or flat and continue to play for pot control. If I raised I didn't really make a plan for if I get 3b, but decided to anyway due to the board texture ( I felt that I need to raise for value/protection vs weaker pairs and draws) . I think I would have to raise/fold even given the pot odds because it's hard to believe that either villain would play weaker KX and draws this way. This makes me think that I should continue the pot control line if I would plan to raise/fold it.
River: Since I put SB on TP and draws I decided to just call and go to showdown. Couldn't see too many hands in villains range that would bet/call this river. Hard to think he would bet/call K2,K3,K5-8
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♣ K♦
fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.6 BB, Hero calls 2 BB
Flop: (9 BB, 3 players) K♣ T♥ 4♠
SB bets 1 BB, Hero calls 1 BB, CO calls 1 BB
Turn: (12 BB, 3 players) T♠
SB bets 2 BB, Hero raises to 12 BB, fold, SB calls 10 BB
River: (36 BB, 2 players) 9♦
SB bets 4 BB, Hero calls 4 BB
Spoiler
SB shows A♠ 8♠ (One Pair, Tens) (Pre 60%, Flop 16%, Turn 25%)
Hero shows Q♣ K♦ (Two Pair, Kings and Tens) (Pre 40%, Flop 84%, Turn 75%)
Hero wins 42.2 BB