NL50 KQ 3bet pot 3barrel

Hiya,

Having this hand as a bluff is fine imo (OK equity, overcards).. However, I am unsure of the river shove. Do you have Tx often here in your range? I think you are definitely perceived to have some flushes so that's good but at the same time you can probably discount like 18 combos of overcards on such a runout so we probably need to gain more FE since our range is weaker, probably quite bluffheavy.

Hard to say his own range so we can probably think about our own some more. What value hands do you have here usually?

You can also look into your DB for this spot and see if people fold a lot more often than they should. Then you can just expand your bluff range.

My value range here is T9, T8, ATs and ATo, QTs, KTs, T7s, AcQc, AcKc, KcQc, 7c8c, Ac2c+. Maybe some Kcxc.

Should I value shove QQ+?

You are giving your opponent about 30% odds so you can bluff about 30% and be balanced. You have about 40 combos of value according to equilab (rough estimate, Tx can lose sometimes ofc). That means you can have about 17 bluff combos.

How I got there:

40 combos means 70% value
x combos means 30% bluffs

x=(40*30)/70.

Now think about how many bluff combos you have in your range. Try to be honest, maybe recheck your value range. If you are not objective and honest with yourself here you might end up spewing money.. I know I had my "how could he call here" moments.

@QQ shove: I think you shouldn't.. doesn't seem like you actually have value in that bet.

I really don't know exactly but I probably have a lot more bluff combos than 17.

I do think I can be unbalanced towards bluffs at this stake, but not this much probably...

If you don't have many more bluffs in your range it's still fine just make sure to pay attention.