Hello guys.
BB is monster whale 83/26/12.5 with 85% donk.
BU is 27/16/0.7 (480) super weak reg fish, who isn't stabbing/betting thin.
41% ftcb on flop
14% raise c-bet on flop
30% ftcb on turn
27% bet when checked to flop
23% bet when checked to turn
20/24/14 agg%
35 WTSD
Flop seems kind of std w BU behind? I think HU I raise whale since he has many pairs he doesn't fold. Turn I also think std since much value to be had in this spot. Weak reg fish flats again but he has a huge WTSD so he can easily have worse here. What do you think of this estimation is his range?
Board: 8♠5♠K♠ K♦
Equity Win Tie
MP2 47.68% 40.73% 6.95% { 88, 55, QdQs, QhQs, QsQc, JdJs, JhJs, JsJc, AKs, KTs+, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As4s, AKo, KQo, As5c }
MP3 52.32% 45.37% 6.95% { AhKh }
This is assuming he raises non-nut flushes on the flop (QTs etc) -- do you think this is reasonable assumption? What is your play on the river? c/c or bet/fold? We don't think he ever turns hands into bluffs at river. Thanks!
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Party, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
CO: $157.80 (157.8 bb)
UTG: $156.12 (156.1 bb)
SB: $106.83 (106.8 bb)
BTN: $125.99 (126 bb)
BB: $110.56 (110.6 bb)
Hero (MP): $100 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP with A
K
UTG folds, Hero raises to $2.50, CO folds, BTN calls $2.50, SB folds, BB calls $1.50
Flop: ($8) 8
5 K (3 players)
BB bets $3.80, Hero calls $3.80, BTN calls $3.80
Turn: ($19.40) K
(3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $13, BTN calls $13, BB folds
River: ($45.40) 3
(2 players)
Hero ???
