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AQo vs. 3 barrels

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Hello.

Villain is 20/17/6.2 winning reg who plays around 12 tables (2.7k).
ftcb flop: 33
bet vs missed c-bet flop: 53
bet vs missed c-bet turn: 48
c-bet: 64/54/62 (so barrels often)
Agg: 45/36/31
WTSD: 26

I c/c here since he bets semi-often when checked to/floats often, so c/c>betting here? On the turn I hit gin but obv c/c to let him bluff again. On the river he makes it pretty large, but I guess he has busted fd/sd here fairly often, and my hand looks kind of weak like AJ/44-66?


Board: 7♣K♠K♣ Q♦ 8♦
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    44.00%  44.00%   0.00% { 77, AJs-ATs, KTs+, QJs, JTs, Tc9c, 9c8c, KQo }
MP3    56.00%  56.00%   0.00% { AhQc }

Snap call w his stats?

--------------------------------------

Party, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $118 (118 bb)
UTG: $128.19 (128.2 bb)
SB: $103.40 (103.4 bb)
BTN: $74.20 (74.2 bb)
Hero (MP): $100 (100 bb)
CO: $100 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A Q
UTG folds, Hero raises to $2.50, CO calls $2.50, 3 folds

Flop: ($6.50) 7 K K (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $5, Hero calls $5

Turn: ($16.50) Q (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $12, Hero calls $12

River: ($40.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $30, Hero ???


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2 replies
Scoob101
Joined: 11.10.2006

As played I think c/c down on this board runout is fine.

Expect him to 3b AK, you block the KQ combos. I dont see a lot of Kx hands in his range. Your hand looks like a pair lower pocket pair Jacks and he can definitely try to bluff you off those hands.

I would prefer to just cbet this Flop.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Originally posted by Scoob101
As played I think c/c down on this board runout is fine.

Expect him to 3b AK, you block the KQ combos. I dont see a lot of Kx hands in his range. Your hand looks like a pair lower pocket pair Jacks and he can definitely try to bluff you off those hands.

I would prefer to just cbet this Flop.

agree w this


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