Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
BB ($5,180)
Hero ($3,380)
CO ($3,440)
Dealt to Hero T♠ T♣
Hero raises to $400, fold, BB calls $200
FLOP ($800) 7♥ 4♣ K♣
BB checks, Hero checks
TURN ($800) 7♥ 4♣ K♣ 5♦
BB bets $400, Hero calls $400
RIVER ($1,600) 7♥ 4♣ K♣ 5♦ 5♥
BB bets $4,380 (AI), Hero calls $2,580 (AI)
unknown 36/28/inf/30 (i know his stats may easily suggest he's a reg, but as far as i remember that wasnt my impression ingame, meaning he was playing rather fishy)
i can obv be crushed on the river, he may play Kx like this for some reason, he may even have 5x or 86 or some other crap. But all of these make much less sense than a missed draw or other random air that he decided to play strong since im very risk averse. Would you go with my read or is the ICM tax too high in this situation? (im getting 38%, need 53,17%).
