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NL5 FR AKs turn play - c/r too scary?

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Known Players:
UTG2: $7.67 - 153 bb
UTG3: $6.47 - 129 bb
MP1: $5.22 - 104 bb
MP2: $5.00 - 100 bb
MP3: $4.87 - 97 bb
CO: $12.09 - 242 bb
BU: $1.80 - 36 bb
SB: $12.06 - 241 bb
BB: $2.50 - 50 bb

0.02/0.05 No Limit Hold'em (9 Handed)
Hand recorder for this hand: PokerStrategy.com SideKick 1.1.417.4

Preflop: Hero is UTG3 with A♠, K♠
SB posts small blind ($0.02), BB posts big blind ($0.05), UTG2 folds, Hero raises for $0.20, 3 folds, CO calls, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.47 - 9.40 bb) 9♠, 4♠, 3♣ (2 Players)
Hero bets $0.30, CO raises for $1.05, Hero calls

Turn: ($2.57 - 51.40 bb) 7♠ (2 Players)
Hero checks, CO bets $1.70, Hero raises for $5.22, CO folds, Hero gets uncalled back ($3.52)

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CO was 42/25/0 over 12.

Flop: I get 2 : 1 pot odds and I need 4 : 1 purely for the FD. However, given that villain signals strength I think I have the odds to call.

Turn: going for a check/raise. Don't want to see any more scary cards for the villain, e.g. another spade, overcards.
If he has a set he is not folding anyways.

Is my estimation of implied odds on the flop correct?


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cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009

flop - yes you are right

turn - I'm not sure if check/raise turn is too scary for him but it definitely looks scarier than a pot size donk. i prefer donking both turn and river for value since we will get it in anyway and we give him a chance to raise the turn again (as a bluff or for value with a worse hand)


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