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88 set turn

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double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $76.18 (76.2 bb)
Hero (BB): $100 (100 bb)
UTG: $200.55 (200.6 bb)
MP: $120.45 (120.5 bb)
CO: $99.96 (100 bb)
BTN: $111.51 (111.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 8
UTG folds, MP raises to $3, 3 folds, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($6.50) 5 2 K (2 players)
Hero checks, MP checks

Turn: ($6.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.50, MP raises to $12,

14k hands
29/23/11.5%
open MP 17%
cbet flop 78%
WTSD 30%
WWSF 51%
Agg freq 51/35/29

Would you prefer bet or check turn? Facing his raise, call, c/shove river?


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

I actually prefer a CR on the Turn. I feel like when the villain checks back on the Flop, he probably has something and there's a good chance that he would go for a Turn bet instead with his JJ/QQ/KXs type of hands.

Leading out is fine too though, cos this board is really dry and you cannot check/raise to rep some sort of semi-bluff on this texture.

Turn: What do you think villain is repping here? To me it just looks like KK or some semi-bluff with 67s. His line doesn't even make sense for any other hand.

As such, I don't think pushing the River is good. Just bet/call Turn check/call River.

Thanks.


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double2
Joined: 04.11.2008

I find it hard to believe he would chk back top set, would you consider doing that?

Anyways, weird:

Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $76.18 (76.2 bb)
Hero (BB): $100 (100 bb)
UTG: $200.55 (200.6 bb)
MP: $120.45 (120.5 bb)
CO: $99.96 (100 bb)
BTN: $111.51 (111.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8 8
UTG folds, MP raises to $3, 3 folds, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($6.50) 5 2 K (2 players)
Hero checks, MP checks

Turn: ($6.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.50, MP raises to $12, Hero calls $7.50

River: ($30.50) 9 (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $25, Hero raises to $85 and is all-in, MP folds


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

why not? When he has top set, it's so hard for you to have something. I'd expect him to cbet the Flop with most of his air, and when he checks back the Flop he should either have KK or some weak KX or QQ/JJ. Having top set here also allows his calling range to have some monsters so that he's not always capped here.

IMO He shouldn't be raising the Turn with QQ/JJ/KX so he either has some turned straight draw which he somehow chose not to cbet the Flop with (really rare when the board is so great for cbetting) or he has top set.


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