Just want a line check on this one, especially sizing on flop and turn. The effective stack was an awkward size on turn, so I reckon there was a mistake with sizing on the flop (I've become so used to sizing for 100bb stacks!). If the flop bet is say $0.55 it sets us up for an easy shove on turn? (unless diamond hits)
I was thinking he either has a smaller set or flush draw (88 and JJ definitely in his range). As far as I'm concerned, once I bet the turn I'm committed unless there's a diamond on the river...
Villain was 15/10 after 98 hands, but very passive post-flop - AF=0.3, Agg Freq=9%, FCB=40%
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.02(BB) Replayer
Hero ($6.57)
BB ($1.90)
UTG ($1.52)
UTG+1 ($1.06)
UTG+2 ($2.46)
MP1 ($0.92)
MP2 ($3.48)
CO ($2)
BTN ($0.44)
Dealt to Hero A♣ A♠
UTG raises to $0.08, fold, UTG+2 calls $0.08, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.34, fold, fold, UTG+2 calls $0.26
FLOP ($0.78) 8♦ A♦ J♦
Hero bets $0.42, UTG+2 calls $0.42
TURN ($1.62) 8♦ A♦ J♦ 9♠
Hero bets $0.70, UTG+2 calls $0.70
RIVER ($3.02) 8♦ A♦ J♦ 9♠ 2♣
Hero bets $1.24, UTG+2 calls $1 (AI)
Spoiler
Hero shows A♣ A♠ (Pre 93%, Flop 70.9%, Turn 81.8%)UTG+2 shows K♦ A♥ (Pre 7%, Flop 29.1%, Turn 18.2%)Hero wins $4.84
