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Cooler or bad play?

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yaxkukmian
Joined: 24.12.2007

CO 20 hands 15/15/33 cbet

IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $10.94 (109.4 bb)
UTG: $10.90 (109 bb)
MP: $1.98 (19.8 bb)
CO: $16.70 (167 bb)
Hero (BTN): $13.79 (137.9 bb)
SB: $11.47 (114.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with 2 2
2 folds, CO raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.40, 2 folds

Flop: ($0.95) A J 5 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets $0.70, CO calls $0.70

Turn: ($2.35) 5 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks

River: ($2.35) 2 (2 players)
CO bets $2.35, Hero raises to $12.69 and is all-in, CO calls $10.34

Results:

Spoiler

$27.73 pot ($1.84 rake)
Final Board: A J 5 5 2
CO showed A A and won $25.89 ($12.10 net)
Hero mucked 2 2 and lost (-$13.79 net)

After he calls my flop bet I'm just giving up.

On the R he makes a pot size bet which is really weird but I gave him flushes and just shoved.
He's not slowplaying AK, AJ, AQ, like this. Also he's not potting R with only Jx. Only hands that he's doing it is with Kx :heart: or maybe Qx :heart: Can he have anything else here?


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

hi

Flop: Why are you betting here? Don't you think the average player cbets AXX flops a lot?
Besides you have little equity to improve - I much prefer to stab here with KT or 6:s7:s

River: What hands are you putting him on? IMO he rarely has a flush here as most players will just bet the Flop with a flush draw. His Flop check and River pot reps AA mostly.

Maybe he pots here with AX but that seems really bad when the flush hits. He probably cbets AX with strong kickers on the Flop, and doesn't pot the River with weak AX. Maybe he could have a flush.

I do think shipping here is kind of an overplay. We have absolutely no reason to believe that villain has a 2nd best hand here really often (flushes) cos his actions are not consistent with that.

Do we have value in a raise? Perhaps. But I don't like a River ship, we are targeting flushes and AX after all. maybe a raise to 5 or 6 makes more sense.


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yaxkukmian
Joined: 24.12.2007

Tnx for your comments.

I had kind of a feeling I could just call his R bet. But when I started thinking about his range I found "many" hands that he could do it with. I needed confirmation that is way too optimistic

Value in raise...like I mentioned only Kx flush and since it's paired board he may not go broke easily since we're a bit deep.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

If i put him on K high flush I'm always shipping here if he's bad enough and doesn't know how to make a hero-fold :)

Should always go for max value when opponent has a 2nd best hand cos it's hard to lay down strong hands. I just feel like there isn't that much value.


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