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NL10 AK river bluff

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mavetek
Joined: 15.08.2011

Hi, lately I'm trying some bluff, but it's not going very well, anyway..

CO 55/22 (323 hands)
CC from MP 55% (19)
3Bet 15%

BTN 20/17 (811 hands)
3bet from BTN %20%, 3bet 9%
squeeze 5.3%
cbet in 3bet pot 75% (12)
wts 23%
Agf 8.7 flop, 4.67 turn, 1 river

Preflop: I wanted to flat because of CO (very loose) and the high 3bet of BTN from that position, however i didn't see the squeeze stat, I thought I dominate a good part of his range, is it ok?

Postflop: Is it ok to bluff the river? I don't know if he would fold JJ there, his check looked so weak and with AK I blocked KQ / AQ

IPoker, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (MP): $18.52 (185.2 bb)
CO: $14.79 (147.9 bb)
BTN: $9.90 (99 bb)
SB: $18.38 (183.8 bb)
BB: $23 (230 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A K
Hero raises to $0.30, CO calls $0.30, BTN raises to $1.35, 2 folds, Hero calls $1.05, CO folds

Flop: ($3.15) 4 Q 3 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $1.70, Hero calls $1.70

Turn: ($6.55) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($6.55) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, BTN calls $6.85

Results:

Spoiler

$20.25 pot ($1.19 rake)
Final Board: 4 Q 3 2 4
Hero mucked A K and lost (-$9.90 net)
BTN showed Q A and won $19.06 ($9.16 net)


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Hi Mavetek,

Preflop: I much more prefer a 4-bet with our hand because we will be OOP with AKo a hand that doesn't flop often and in a MW pot it will be hard to play anything other than fit/fold.

If the fish likes his hand he'll call the 4-bet anyway.

As played what exactly do you want him to fold there besides JJ? I think your big bet also polarizes your range so you may get called and the board came down of such nature that it will be hard to get pairs to fold (thus I wouldn't bluff).


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