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Samplesize to somewhat know?

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Guthans
Joined: 16.12.2009

Hey,

So, I've been running bad(atleast I think so) for about 110k hands on NL10SH Zoom, how long can you expect to be running bad, as a 5bb/100 winner, as a standard? I mean, ofcourse, it can turn tomorrow - and it could go on indefinantly, but when does it start becoming very unlikely that you'd actually be running bad and rather that you'd be playing bad, any ideas?

Thanks.


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8 replies
metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

BrokeSoBroke had a pretty sick graph of 500k hands of runbad.


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UPAY4DINNER
Joined: 28.09.2009

Hey guys,

I think indefinitely is the correct answer and most logical answer. The most important thing is to work on your game all of the time. To play your A game as much as possible and to play and develop a solid winning strategy. The cards will do their job eventually :)

Gary


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ABShortland
Joined: 21.11.2008

BogdanPS made a great video showing the effects of Variance using a free tool.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com/video/25155/

Finding out your std dev. and the putting it into the variance simulator he shows will answer your question too!

Cheers
-ABShortland


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UPAY4DINNER
Joined: 28.09.2009

Wow!

Thank you for that ABShortland :)


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Guthans
Joined: 16.12.2009

Originally posted by ABShortland
BogdanPS made a great video showing the effects of Variance using a free tool.

http://www.pokerstrategy.com/video/25155/

Finding out your std dev. and the putting it into the variance simulator he shows will answer your question too!

Cheers
-ABShortland

Great, just what I needed! Thank you very much, helped alot. =)


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bennisboy
Joined: 11.04.2011

As soon as I lose one hand I declare I run bad. Two hands, I declare I suck


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Guthans
Joined: 16.12.2009

Originally posted by bennisboy
As soon as I lose one hand I declare I run bad. Two hands, I declare I suck

Sounds like a bad tactic.


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dannywratten
Joined: 11.05.2010

Originally posted by Guthans

Originally posted by bennisboy
As soon as I lose one hand I declare I run bad. Two hands, I declare I suck

Sounds like a bad tactic.

Sounds more like a level ;)


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