iPoker - $0.50 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (SB): 285.8 BB
BB: 123.36 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 20.90, 3Bet Preflop: 7.78, Hands: 829)
CO: 251.4 BB (VPIP: 24.47, PFR: 20.57, 3Bet Preflop: 10.03, Hands: 5,781)
BTN: 102.66 BB (VPIP: 22.46, PFR: 19.38, 3Bet Preflop: 7.12, Hands: 2,820)
Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♣ Q♠
fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 9 BB, fold, BTN raises to 20 BB, Hero calls 11 BB
Flop: (41 BB, 2 players) 2♦ 2♠ 3♠
Hero checks, BTN checks
Turn: (41 BB, 2 players) 2♣
Hero bets 21 BB, BTN calls 21 BB
River: (83 BB, 2 players) 3♦
Hero bets 244.8 BB, fold
Hero shows K♣ Q♠ (Full House, Twos full of Threes)
Hero wins 79 BB
He 4bets 20%, from BU, opens 50%. Since 50% range is 672 hands,
20% 4bet would be 134 hands, and if he stacks off TT+, AK range that is 46 hands, so it means that he folds to shove 66% of time, and I need with his 4bet size and my 3bet size around 50% FE to make it + EV.
So is it ok vs such a players to go broke 22-55, A2s-A5s, AQ+, TT+, and call him from time to time with KQ, AJ, 2 combos of KK and AA?
Since I saw him several times calling from bu with AA and other premiums so it means I can discard some percantage of 46 stacking off combos, so it means he folds around 65-75% to shove.
1) is this reasoning ok?
2) In a situations with hands which I call his 4bet, he still can go bet shove with TT+AK, but when there are no K, A on flop, he can go broke only with TT+, I block 3 combos of Q and K, so he is left with only 24 combos which could call me down here. So since his 4bet range includes 134 combos, and only 24 combos can call down, or call my shove after his cbet I think this is also +EV until he adapts.
My game plan is to shove after his cbet on flop on any board which is not Kx,Ax since his blockers hit it hard. I would do the same with KK, AA for balancing.
When he misses cbet, is it ok to bet turn and shove river since it looks like 99, TT, AK?