PKR, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
MP: $98.19 (196.4 bb)
CO: $54.18 (108.4 bb)
BTN: $51.80 (103.6 bb)
SB: $50.65 (101.3 bb)
Hero (BB): $51.93 (103.9 bb)
UTG: $110.34 (220.7 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with A
J
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.50, 3 folds, Hero calls $1
Flop: ($3.25) 9
T
Q (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $3.25, Hero raises to $10.80, MP calls $7.55
Turn: ($24.85) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $14
Villain is playing 38/25/ 3.8AF / 91FlopCbet ... Not looking to be positionally aware over 74 hands
Plan was to raise and barrel him off a better hand (Pair+oesd, maybe even 2pair)
Flop: 91% cbet means he'll be betting any piece of this board and by X/C'ing i think we sort've turn our hand face up? ... By X/R'ing the flop we regain initiative, maximise FE and if he ships over the top it's an easy fold .. However the raise size can definitely be smaller? say $8.50 which Pair+oesd's would more than happily call, Maybe even Pairs + GS's and we can barrel most turn cards putting pressure on his weaker holdings + if we hit we have the nuts
His cbetting range would look something like:
99+, AQs-ATs, K9s+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, AQo-ATo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, T9o
and i expect him to 3bet all the nut hands in his range, KJ possibly calling. not sure about 2pair shipping though so his calling range will look something like
JJ, AQs-ATs, KTs+, Q9s+, J9s+, T9s, AQo-AJo, KJo+, QTo+, JTo, T9o
(Maybe i'm being a little optimisic with Pairs+GS's. but overall i don't expect his range to be strong enough to take another barrel)
Turn: Pots abit too bloated at this point so not really sure what my bet size shoulda been. If the flop raise was $8.50 that gives a $20.25 pot on the turn and betting $13/$14 into this would generate more FE?
Probably way off in my thinking but ah well ♦
Thanks in advance
