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nl20Sh ATs Nutflush fold?

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RasTweet
Joined: 26.12.2009

Hey guys!

UTG: 41/3/108 hands
MP: 50/3/213 hands notes: Bet 1/2 pot vs missed cb and folds vs a raise, potbet w/ a set.
SB: 18/15/998 hands folds 86% flops vs cb OOP

Pre: Iso is standard for me.

Flop: SB is going to play fit/fold anyway and I'm IP on MP plus I have lots of outs so I like cbetting.

Turn: Because I think SB is going to be fit/fold anyway I think he's got a big hands otf. Betting turn therefore would be a huge mistake because he's going to raise a shitload of those hands and push me off my equity.

River: That he bets wasn't a surprise. I thought about folding and I still think this is the best play. He either has 77, 66, 67, 78. Thats the only hands I think he'll bet that big with. and vs those hands I'm not doing that well.

Prima, $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $25.21 (126.1 bb)
SB: $40.46 (202.3 bb)
BB: $20.48 (102.4 bb)
UTG: $17.68 (88.4 bb)
MP: $15.34 (76.7 bb)
Hero (CO): $22.28 (111.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with T A
UTG calls $0.20, MP calls $0.20, Hero raises to $1, BTN folds, SB calls $0.90, 2 folds, MP calls $0.80

Flop: ($3.40) 7 6 7 (3 players)
SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $1.90, SB calls $1.90, MP folds

Turn: ($7.20) 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($7.20) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $6.80, Hero???

Spoiler

calls $6.80

Results:

Spoiler

$20.80 pot ($1.04 rake)
Final Board: 7 6 7 2 4
SB showed 6 6 and won $19.76 ($10.06 net)
Hero mucked T A and lost (-$9.70 net)


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3 replies
cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009

Hi,

agree to your analysis except the river.

river he could be betting worse hands like overpairs 88-QQ worse flush draws maybe A7 and i think we are doing pretty ok against that range and can call.

Thanks
Cutegoldfish


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RasTweet
Joined: 26.12.2009

Well I just wonder a couple of things about those hands.

1) A7 wouldn't that raise my bet on the flop since it's a somewhat drawy board?

2) 88-QQ same question wouldn't they raise? Specially the lower PP's?

3) Are 88-QQ betting this big on the river? I'm not calling to many worse hands vs the lower PP's.

Thanks!

RasTweet


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cutegoldfish
Joined: 19.11.2009

Hi,

1) yes possibly but he could also want to slowplay and tried to check raise the turn but failed

2) QQ might raise but sometimes they just call because its multiway.

3) possibly, he might bet for value because he has an overpair. yes you are not calling worse hands but thats what you think. i dont think thats what he thinks. i have overpair he checked, ok i bet.

Thanks
Cutegoldfish


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