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30$ 9 man KTs bubble call

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alxpoker91
Joined: 03.12.2011

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 30 Tournament, 100/200 Blinds 25 Ante (4 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://www.flopturnriver.com

SB (t2,580)
Hero (BB) (t3,890)
UTG (t3,820)
Button (t3,210)

Hero's M: 9.72

Preflop: Hero is BB with K♠, 10:spade:
2 folds, SB bets t2,555 (All-In), Hero calls t2,355

Flop: (t5,210) 3♥, A♣, J♥ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Turn: (t5,210) 3♣ (2 players, 1 all-in)

River: (t5,210) 8♥ (2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: t5,210

Spoiler

SB had 6♣, A♥ (two pair, Aces and threes).
Hero had K♠, 10:spade: (one pair, threes).
Outcome: SB won t5,210

SB is a loosing reg.considering that he is pushing almost 13bb how would you deviate from nash?
nash says he is pushing 62% and me calling 18%.


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2 replies
wiarygodny
Joined: 16.07.2009

if he's a loosing reg he's probably somehow deviating from Nash - do you have any reads or at least stats on that? do you think he will r/c his monsters instead of open shoving meaning that here his range is capped? withouth any of those informations i would call tighter than Nash since i believe theres a bigger chance that a loosing reg is gonna push tighter rather than looser than he's supposed to. On the other hand the chance he caps his shoving range is also bigger. Anyway, im calling tighter than Nash, prolly even folding hand as strong as KTs, its almost bottom of the Nash anyway + if we loose this one we automatically become the single shorty on the bubble which is never great.

p.s. including antes he's shoving more like 9.5bb, not 13bb


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just call nash if he is balanced. if he is unbalanced and shoves 13bb with weaker hands and trap MR strong hands you can put a more accurate range in wizard and define your call range. KTs looks like a call vs all regs


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