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NL200 J7o

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

IPoker, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BTN: $214.45 (107.2 bb)
SB: $211.62 (105.8 bb)
Hero (BB): $361.61 (180.8 bb)
CO: $216.25 (108.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with J 7
CO folds, BTN raises to $4, SB folds, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($9) 3 J 8 (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $6.30, Hero calls $6.30

Turn: ($21.60) A (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $15.12, Hero calls $15.12

River: ($51.84) T (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $40, Hero? (149 effective after his bet)

Villain: 23/18
41% open BTN

68/60(10)/no sample Cbet
22 WTS
No relevant reads.

Good hand to turn into a bluff? Or any other better candidates? Jf we do bluff, jam is the only way to go??


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

hi

firstly, what can you rep here if you raise the river? I don't think you can rep any straights, and raising 2pairs here would be overplay. TT probably 3bets pre and you should be c/r-ing other sets on the F or T. Only thing you can rep here is some backdoor flushes.

next, you want to think about the number of combos you have. Find out how many flush combos you have (these are mostly going to be combo draws, J:cX:c, 8:cX:c or perhaps some GS+FD like Q:cT:c, though I think SFDs should be raised on the turn cos they have no showdown value unlike pair+FD). How wide are you defending pre? J2s? 86s+?

Thirdly, you want to be picking a raise size. A Jack high flush is pretty strong so making a huge raise (like an all-in) is probably a reasonable choice. With the 8 high Flush maybe a smaller raise makes more sense. Or you could just use one size to something like $120.

Lastly, you want to think about the odds you are offering to his bluff catching combos (such as sets). If you make it $120 here, he needs to call $80 more to win a pot of 52 + 120 + 120 = 292. 80 / 292 = 27%

So your bluff : value ratio should be around 1:3. I would certainly prefer having some higher clubs in my hand.


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