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nl400 hit turn set

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Betaverzio
Joined: 26.09.2012

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $4(BB) Replayer
SB ($400)
BB ($202)
UTG ($367)
CO ($400)
Hero ($829)

Dealt to Hero 4♥ 4♠

fold, fold, Hero raises to $10.50, SB calls $8.50, fold

FLOP ($25) 2♥ 9♠ J♣

SB checks, Hero checks

TURN ($25) 2♥ 9♠ J♣ 4♣

SB bets $16, Hero raises to $54.50, SB raises to $120, Hero raises to $818 (AI), SB calls $269 (AI)

RIVER ($804) 2♥ 9♠ J♣ 4♣ 8♣

BB fish
SB 22/20/10.3 3bet ,vs bu 15%, call open sb 2%, ftcb 38%

I gave up on flop. Turn:
I think i have the best hand 99,99% of the time so i want to get more money in. He definetely calls with J's.
Is it a problem, that i dont represent too much, but 444?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Hi.

What do u think is in villain's preflop sb calling range? I think its gonna be pretty wide with bb being a fish.

I dont agree that he is stacking off JX on the turn. U are repping clubs or 44 and shoving jx here would just be a stupid play. Imo vs a turn 3b u should be crushed vs his value range most of the time if he is decent (99/JJ which we cannot rule out just bcos he didnt 3b since there is a fish in bb) and he should be flatting all hands worse than 44.

Because of that i much prefer a raise/call turn call river line.

Thanks.


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