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NL20 SH 56o

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SPeedFANat1c
Joined: 04.01.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.20(BB) Replayer
SB ($20)
Hero ($22.82)
BTN ($23.91)

Dealt to Hero 5♣ 6♠

fold, SB raises to $0.60, Hero calls $0.40

FLOP ($1.20) 2♣ 6♣ 2♦

SB bets $0.90, Hero calls $0.90

TURN ($3) 2♣ 6♣ 2♦ 3♣

SB bets $1.70, Hero calls $1.70

RIVER ($6.40) 2♣ 6♣ 2♦ 3♣ 3♠

SB bets $2.90, Hero folds

SB wins $6.08

note:
cbet OOP 1/2 w nut FD, call raise, chekc turn, donk river 1/2 w flsuh

preflop - he steals a lot, so I think I have mathematicall odds to call, also I have position. He does not fold to 3bets much so no 3bet.

On flop he sizing is big so I dont raise. I htink it would be a raise if he bets like 1/2 because there can be lot of scare cards on next streets and I would not know if I am ahead anymore. But now he might be stonger and I dont want to inflate the pot.

On river he is less agro and his sizing looks like value bet, so I give up.


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5 replies
EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Hey S,

You only saw him react to 3bets twice. How many of those times was in SB? I think 3betting is better with your hand but calling should still be +EV.

Postflop, after you call flop and turn which is fine, it makes no sense to fold that river for that sizing. You only need him to have a hand like Ax, 44, 55 a small percentage of the time.


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SPeedFANat1c Topic starter
SPeedFANat1c
Joined: 04.01.2009

Postflop, after you call flop and turn which is fine, it makes no sense to fold that river for that sizing. You only need him to have a hand like Ax, 44, 55 a small percentage of the time.

he bets about half pot, so I need to win 1/4 of the time to be beakeven. I dont think that he bets 3rd time these hands. He is passive and he does not look that stupid.

Also - do you base your decition of calling river because his wtsd stats are showing that he does not win, or you would do the same even if they would show that he wins, lets say wtsd would be 20 and w$sd 50 over same sample?

Edit:
btw we also dont know if its reg runinig good or maniac fish. You like 3beting even vs fish w 56o if we would have that info?


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EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

We have TP against someone that is averagely aggressive and betting <1/2 pot. Most strong value hands would usually barrel bigger than that.

Regarding your second question, it doesn't matter if he is a reg or fish, he is opening too wide and 3betting 56o will be profitable against both player types that open a super wide RB range.


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SPeedFANat1c Topic starter
SPeedFANat1c
Joined: 04.01.2009

Most strong value hands would usually barrel bigger than that.

I he thinks that he does not get many calls then he might bet small imo. For example better 6x.


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EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Originally posted by SPeedFANat1c

Most strong value hands would usually barrel bigger than that.

I he thinks that he does not get many calls then he might bet small imo. For example better 6x.

If you think he is competent enough to significantly alter his bet sizing with his whole range based on your range, you have ran into the best NL20 player that should probably grind NL100 instead. Chances of that happening are extremely low and his bet size is mostly based on his own hand, not your range.


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