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KJs - Chasing a Gutshot when Flush Draw on Board

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Poker Stars $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2252733
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $27.15 - VPIP: 24, PFR: 21, 3B: 27, AF: 5.0, Hands: 29
SB: $50.80 - VPIP: 8, PFR: 8, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 37
BB: $30.86 - VPIP: 50, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 2
UTG: $26.01 - VPIP: 16, PFR: 16, 3B: 19, AF: 0.0, Hands: 73
MP: $26.87 - VPIP: 0, PFR: 0, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 5
Hero (CO): $28.18 - VPIP: 20, PFR: 17, 3B: 5, AF: 4.3, Hands: 16885

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is CO with K :heart: J :heart:
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, 2 folds, BB calls $0.25

Min-bet vs. competent players to keep SPR low.

Flop: ($1.10) 7 :diamond: T :club: A :diamond: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.75, BB raises to $2.10, Hero folds

Ace provides good fold equity and I have decent equity against his calling range. Unknown BB raises me (AT+, 77, TT, xD Xd) so I've only got 3 clean outs to the nuts but my opponent could have a re-draw.

It is $1.35 to call and I will hit the clean straight roughly 7% of the time. I don't think my implied odds are good enough though due to the re-draws and possible fact that villain is also on a draw.


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1 reply
EmanuelC16
Joined: 02.01.2010

Hey R,

Seems like a clear fold to me, no idea why you would want to chase a 7% out here. You have way better hands to call this c/r with. You need him to be bluffing flop and giving up later quite often to float such a hand.


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