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QTs

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Avataren
Joined: 28.04.2010

Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Preflop: Hero is MP with Q T
UTG folds, Hero raises, 2 folds, SB calls, BB folds

Flop: (5 SB) K T J (2 players)
SB bets, Hero calls

Turn: (3.5 BB) T (2 players)
SB bets, Hero raises, SB calls

River: (7.5 BB) 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Results: 7.5 BB pot (0.3 BB rake)
Final Board: K T J T 8
Hero showed Q T

SB:53/4/1/341hands

plays draws aggressively.

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can i bet river or would that be shooting myself in the foot considering its about 61% equity in my favor on river vs his range.

am i representing anything other than a T since i only call flop. to me that narrows my range to Flush draws, straight draws basically something like a strong TP / Two Pair. . so when i c/r turn it really to me seems like i can only have the T or the occasional monster. on the river i am basically saying i dont have the flush so even if he had like a 6 clubs he should bet since im basically telling him "I dont have the flush" .. does this make any sense at all ? So i should bet river and hope he only calls with his weak flushes?


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Dawnfall26
Joined: 30.07.2008

Hi!

I say check. If you bet here it clearly must be b/f since if you b/c then I guess you dont have a folding range and you are overbetting in this spot.

But then again... if you bet you clearly want him to call with his Kx since I dont really see what else he can have that you beat that is going to call. So to b/f you need 50%+ equity vs his non-folding range...and is that realistic...I dont think so... he has a ton of flushes here that I can see him play like this and even some of his Kx are flushes now. And last but not least there is a chance he pulls of a bluff with a hand like Qx that may think its a good bluffcard...which pushes required equity for you bet a bit higher


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