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NL200 AA, plan for T-R 3bet pot?

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

IPoker, $1/$2 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: $189.35 (94.7 bb)
MP: $220.31 (110.2 bb)
CO: $526.30 (263.2 bb)
BTN: $118 (59 bb)
Hero (SB): $229.40 (114.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A A
MP folds, CO raises to $5, BTN folds, Hero raises to $18, BB folds, CO calls $13

Flop: ($38) 9 5 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $20, Hero?

Villain: 26/22
No sample on openraise
43% fold to 3bet overall (28)

55% fold to cbet flop (20)
29 WTS
(660 hands)
No relevant reads.

I am usually betting here OTT, and against this guy I do think betting is slightly better. Mostly because his fold to cbet flop (although low sample) is on the higher side which makes his flop callingrange stronger. But while playing the hand I just felt like a check would be better option in the current metagame, with me 3betting him a ton.

So a few questions about the hand:

1. Betting > checking OTT?
We do not want him to potcontrol a hand like A9s, T9s, 98s, 88, TT-JJ and lose the opportunity to stack him. But on the other hand he might not even call down with all of those hands, and he does have a few floats in his range too (in this particular hand my impression was more than usual).

2. When checking c/jam or c/call?
C/jam is nice if we think he bets a very depolarised range OTT, which he may now call off as opposed to bet and check back OTR. c/call on the other hand lets him bet his bluffs which he may also bet OTR but would obv fold to a raise.


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3 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

hi

OTT or OTF? I'm kind of confused.

Any reads on his bet Flop when checked to? If it's low i'm just betting the Flop. Or did you post the wrong hand?


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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

I am obv very confused myself lol.. This is the right hand, but for some reason I didn't notice that I checked OTF nor that I had forgot to include the turnaction :facepalm:

Anyways, let's just pretend that I did bet OTF and this is the turn

Flop: ($38) 9 5 7 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $20, Hero calls $20

Turn: ($78) 2 (2 players)
Hero?


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

I would just bet here. I usually opt for check raising lines on boards where the villain is expected to call Flop and bet Turn when checked to really often.

On this 975 texture i think he is much likelier to have a hand like 98 which would check the Turn when given the opportunity to do so. He's not going to have straight draws like JTs too often, at least compared to the number of times he has a pair+draw.

For example, T85 gets floated more often by hands with no pair/SD value than 975 so checkraising a T85 board makes more sense


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