Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $40(BB) Replayer
SB ($2,020)
BB ($2,000)
UTG ($2,000)
UTG+1 ($2,000)
CO ($2,000)
Hero ($1,980)
Dealt to Hero A♠ 9♣
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $100, SB calls $80, BB calls $60
FLOP ($300) A♣ 8♠ T♥
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks
TURN ($300) A♣ 8♠ T♥ 3♥
SB checks, BB bets $150, Hero calls $150, SB folds
RIVER ($600) A♣ 8♠ T♥ 3♥ 7♠
BB bets $300, Hero calls $300
BB seems like a decent reg, no history 22/16/inf/175
SB is a fishy unknown 71/29/1.5/18
i think both flop and turn are OK, i guess one could argue for a vbet on the flop since we seem to have a whale in the pot but i don't think its neccessarily much better.
river - u guys calling? not only better Ax has me beat but also some two pair combos and J9 (all of them would be played the same way imo)
i beat only bluffs (not extremely likely imo considering it was still 3way on the turn) and some weaker made hands he decided to 'block bet' like this (worse Ax, maybe some Tx).
he does seem to be aggro post but the sample is not massive..
ok, ive just done the calcs in Equilab, the first range i gave him (quite a lot of bluffs, a lot of unlikely made hands, including weak ones that he's 'block betting') gave me equity of.. well over 50% which makes it the easiest call ever given the odds. When i weighted his range towards almost only made hands, inlcuding only a few weaker than mine ive got equity of 28% so it looks like given the odds im getting its a pretty easy call after all.
