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[Closed] NL25 AQo

5 Posts
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Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;SB$4,17:1.613/18 /6 /2,7/36 /11 /76 /42 ;BB$4,40:319/9 /6 /-/28 /32 /-/44 ;UTG$5,00:569/5 /5 /4,7/26 /12 /100 /58 ;UTG+1$15,92:70/29 /4 /1,2/25 /0 /100 /60 ;Hero$4,27:///////;MP1$5,35:1.694/27 /6 /1,8/30 /21 /58 /45 ;MP2$43,64:44/50 /0 /1,3/32 /0 /-/14 ;MP3$13,55:737/17 /5 /4,3/29 /18 /78 /54 ;CO$31,54:3.110/16 /7 /2,4/27 /19 /90 /43 ;BU$29,02:108/15 /6 /-/14 /20 /100 /50 ;[/tg]
0,1/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with A♠, Q♥
UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $1,00, 2 folds, MP3 calls $1,00, CO raises to $4,00, 4 folds, MP3 raises to $7,00, CO raises to $15,00, MP3 raises to $13,55 (All-In).

Flop: ($29,90) 9♠, K♠, 4♦
Turn: ($29,90) 6♠
River: ($29,90) 7♣

Final Pot: $29,90

Referring to STATS , CO has a 3-bet range of 7 and a PFR of 7 thus giving him a reraise range of TT+,AQs+,AQo+ Im at a 35/65 underdog.

Is a push from my side +EV if:
1] There is a 3rd Villain involved (The cold-caller)?
2] The ColdCaller folds after this reraise thus creating dead money?


4 replies
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

I would say you have -EV while there is a 3rd villain involved. But I am still a newbie to such things, still learning :P and about the dead money, yes it counts as dead money as I understood that. Lets see what judges say :P


098799
Joined: 23.07.2007

Sorry? Are you telling me CO has both pfr and 3bet range at 7%? This is rather unliely, believe me. He surely has no bigger 3bet range than half of this and probably AK, JJ+ or sth, but we cannot be sure - you have only 100 hands of his... (I assume you checked this value in popup stats, did you? pfr =! 3bet range)

So i don't think it can be profitable - you need 33% equity assuming mp3's coldcalls as dead money and have not more than 28 when applying the range I suggested above.

And this coldcall/min4bet line indeed is highly suspicious. Note this guy out.


Gerv
Joined: 07.05.2008

my HUD says like 30 but thats I think 30% of 7 so in this case how can I see his range?

Like a normal 3-bet range so AKo+ and QQ+ ? or 30%~ of 7% thus 2.1% and equilate that.


098799
Joined: 23.07.2007

I have no idea, I use PT2 and PAH which does not have 3bet range stat.

Better ask staff or check the manual.


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