Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $60(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,420)
Hero ($4,535)
BTN ($6,045)
Dealt to Hero K♥ 9♥
fold, SB raises to $120, Hero calls $60
FLOP ($240) 2♠ 8♦ J♠
SB checks, Hero checks
TURN ($240) 2♠ 8♦ J♠ 7♥
SB checks, Hero bets $125, SB calls $125
RIVER ($490) 2♠ 8♦ J♠ 7♥ J♥
SB checks, Hero checks
very good reg, although a bit too honest and straightforward post imo, a bit passive as well, we do have some funky postflop history but nothing too crazy. stats for the bubble 30/25/1.1/357, cbet 71%(7), SB steal 61%(77)
once he checks flop i assume its some weakish SD value so i check back since im 99% behind and getting called if i bet so no point building the pot when im beat 
turn - if he leads im prolly folding since imo K high + a gutter is not enough to call imo. But once he checks i see it as a great opportunity to make him fold his weak SD by betting both turn and river, makes sense?
river - his turn call is rather standard, id be surprised if he folded there tbh. river card is the reason why i gave up on my plan and here's why:
- there's a chance (tiny though) he's playing a Jx like this
- it makes it less likely that i have Jx and imo he can read well enough to know that which makes it much more difficult for me to fold out his 8x, 7x etc. so basically all im hoping to fold out is A high (not a lot of those in his range on the river considering the line imo)
would you bet river anyway or maybe my change of plan was actually good?
SnG Mindset Blog