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The Kiro's MicroMillion Main Event!

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kiromanAAKK
Joined: 08.10.2009
PokerStrategist

Third MM Main Event in a row that I bust out right on the top of the bubble

Last night, was even the worst of my MM experiences as in all the tournament (about 4 hours of playing) all I saw was:

JJ (2 time)
AKs
AQo (2 time)
77
44

why a saying that? Just because I would like report my mental state at time of the hand came. Also, this time I was determinate at least to make ITM and at this point if I fold eventually I make just in time to cash for the minimum (around $50).

Obviously, due his stats, I was hoping he would fold here as I wasn't playing a lot even if it was a new table with only about 20 hands played (and much tougher then the one before, btw) and so, my image at the table was very nitty (about 5/3 since then) and even a lag should considerate to fold a lot of his stuff (I thought)

but, If I fold here I really can say bye to any hope to continue in the tournament as probably I just make in time for the cash and that's it!

villan 50/50/0/0.0 [VPIP/PFR/AF/3Bet]

Poker Stars, $20 Buy-in (700/1,400 blinds, 175 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

MP1: 69,945 (50 bb)
MP2: 28,880 (20.6 bb)
MP3: 110,380 (78.8 bb)
CO: 19,703 (14.1 bb)
BTN: 27,854 (19.9 bb)
Hero (SB): 12,540 (9 bb)
BB: 18,103 (12.9 bb)
UTG+1: 28,054 (20 bb)
UTG+2: 85,817 (61.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A J
4 folds, MP3 raises to 3,500, 2 folds, Hero raises to 12,365 and is all-in, BB folds, MP3 calls 8,865

Flop: (27,705) K 3 K (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (27,705) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (27,705) 3 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

27,705 pot
Final Board: K 3 K 8 3
MP3 showed T T and won 27,705 (15,165 net)
Hero showed A J and lost (-12,540 net)

now, after all the consideration made above, should I fold this hand at this point? TY :)


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3 replies
Asaban
Joined: 22.09.2006
Elite Grinder

Hey kiromanAAKK,

I will move your hand to the hand evaluation board where you will get proper reviews of your hand.

Regards,
Asaban


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007
Elite Grinder

Hi all,

I would never expect our opponent to fold here given the odds he's getting. That said, I am surprised sometimes by people's lack of understanding of pot odds.

As for the hand, AJo is easily good enough against his stats. Nice shove.


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Looking at the stats, 50/50/0/0 suggests that the sample of hands is nowhere near big enough to draw any conclusions at all.

We have 9bb, and AJ, this a super std get it in. I wouldn't be expecting the OR to be folding very often but I do think we will be ahead / flipping enough of the time. Just hit something next time!


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