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KQo 3-bet pot

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Hi.

Villain is 27/24/10.8 reg (452 hands): 3-bet SBvCO 11 // 3-bet SBvCO (hero) 33 (3) // c-bet flop 3bp 89 // WTSD 24.

Hero (CO): $105.05 (105.1 bb)
BTN: $105.58 (105.6 bb)
SB: $100.50 (100.5 bb)
BB: $107 (107 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K Q
Hero raises to $2.45, BTN folds, SB raises to $10, BB folds, Hero calls $7.55

Flop: ($21) 3 A Q (2 players)
SB bets $10.63, Hero calls $10.63

Turn: ($42.26) 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($42.26) A (2 players)
SB bets $40

Hero's range at river is something like 99-88,A5s,KQs,QTs+,KQo,QJo (43 combo) though probably 4b/call 99 more often against this guy.

Villain's range at river I think is weaker Ax maybe some smaller pairs/SC turned into bluffs?

Problem is that I don't generally check back Ax here on the turn, except maybe some weaker A5 or A4s or something if I have it. I would bet AT+ for value. So what defending range do you think is appropriate?

I was thinking: A5s-A4s,KQs,KQo,QJs (19 combo) or something?


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2 replies
iambanker
Joined: 28.06.2011

I think that the fact you don't checkback more Ax hands on turn is in general mistake, if I don't have very good reason to think that I can valuebet AT(AJ?) on turn and also river, I don't see many reasons to bet it on turn.

For this sizing it is clear for me. In fact, I would exploitatively fold some of Ax hands too. The reason is that it is very difficult for villain to have enough bluff combination for this sizing, the most of FDs is very likely barreling turn so unless he would turn into bluff like almost everything (SD values too) it is imposible that he finds enough bluff combination in his river range.

So I just fold.

The last important thing is that you also block Kd which blocks his missed FDs (if he check it on turn for some reason), what makes me even more confident with my decision.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Have to agree w banker here. Hes just maximizing value vs QX and not checking turn w weaker AX is a big mistake cos u cannot bet for value in many circumstances.


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